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-   -   Frenzy Playoff Scenarios after week 13 (http://predsff.com/forums//showthread.php?t=27167)

Preds December 6th, 2016 11:04 AM

Frenzy Playoff Scenarios after week 13
 
2 Attachment(s)
Attached is a W/L record for each team this season. If I missed a scenario or made an error somewhere let me know!

The scenarios for 1 of the top 5 seeds are:

Opihi clinched playoff berth, needs a win or Predators loss to clinch East division. A win also guarantees division and top seed

Cards clinched West, can win top seed with win and Opihi loss

Chickens clinched playoff berth, wins Central with a win or Swords loss

Swords wins Central with a win and Chickens loss, can miss playoffs with a loss and Preds & Bees wins

Preds can win East with a win and Opihi loss, can earn no higher than 3rd seed, can miss playoffs entirely with a loss & Bees win

Bees needs a win and Preds or Swords loss

Scorpions needs a win and losses by Preds & Swords

Dogs needs a win and losses by Preds, Swords & Scorpions (might need other help as well)

For the All Play 6th seed the Dogs have a large lead with 96 wins and the next closest being the Swords and Bees (assuming the Dogs miss out on a top 5).

Bounty Hunter December 6th, 2016 11:37 AM

Re: Frenzy Playoff Scenarios after week 13
 
Thanks for putting this together Mike.

chasmvp19 December 6th, 2016 03:36 PM

Re: Frenzy Playoff Scenarios after week 13
 
#2 seeds too numerous to figure???

chasmvp19 December 6th, 2016 03:42 PM

Re: Frenzy Playoff Scenarios after week 13
 
Not sure I want Bee in playoffs...but I want (hope) for a bye...a win would secure that...a Card loss opens tons of scenarios where we may not get a bye...yikes...

Bounty Hunter December 6th, 2016 05:39 PM

Re: Frenzy Playoff Scenarios after week 13
 
If I understand the all play thing I need 3 All Play wins to to make the tourney.

Preds December 6th, 2016 06:01 PM

Re: Frenzy Playoff Scenarios after week 13
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Bounty Hunter (Post 136800)
If I understand the all play thing I need 3 All Play wins to to make the tourney.

Yes 3 would guarantee you a playoff spot, as would the Swords losing at least 3, or the Bees losing at least 1. Or some combination of the above.

Bounty Hunter December 6th, 2016 06:38 PM

Re: Frenzy Playoff Scenarios after week 13
 
More paths than I thought. Who's genius idea was it to use All play? :D

Preds December 6th, 2016 06:53 PM

Re: Frenzy Playoff Scenarios after week 13
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Bounty Hunter (Post 136805)
More paths than I thought. Who's genius idea was it to use All play? :D

I pushed it, and it cost me a playoff berth last year!

Royal Hawaiian Opihi December 6th, 2016 07:13 PM

Re: Frenzy Playoff Scenarios after week 13
 
:agree::goodpost:

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bounty Hunter (Post 136785)
Thanks for putting this together Mike.


Bounty Hunter December 6th, 2016 07:44 PM

Re: Frenzy Playoff Scenarios after week 13
 
I voted for All Play but didn't understand how it worked. I thought it had something to do with each positions score (QB against QB ect) against other teams position scores.

Royal Hawaiian Opihi December 6th, 2016 08:13 PM

Re: Frenzy Playoff Scenarios after week 13
 
I still think it's a good indication of the overall strength of a team. You can have a solid, competitive team that loses some close ones to good teams, and still gets rewarded with a playoff birth. As opposed to being in a weaker division and having a better record (ala the NFC East for so many years, or the NFC South a few years ago, etc.).

chasmvp19 December 7th, 2016 09:46 PM

Re: Frenzy Playoff Scenarios after week 13
 
Or Burt making it at all...63 all play wins??? How did he win any games this year...

Burt the Butcher December 8th, 2016 12:09 AM

Re: Frenzy Playoff Scenarios after week 13
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by chasmvp19 (Post 136893)
Or Burt making it at all...63 all play wins??? How did he win any games this year...

:goodpost:
All the sweeter when I run through all you all-play heavyweights to the title

chasmvp19 December 8th, 2016 03:21 AM

Re: Frenzy Playoff Scenarios after week 13
 
Too funny Burt...I went against my better judgement posting that for a tiny laugh...everyone is a threat once the tourney begins...

Preds December 11th, 2016 08:10 PM

Re: Frenzy Playoff Scenarios after week 13
 
Well after a one year absence, the Preds have limped their way back into the Post-Season with a 9-5 record and will be seeded either 3rd, 4th or 5th. If the Opihi win over the Bees the Preds will be the 4 or 5 seed. If they lose we'll be 3rd seed and Eastern Division winners.

Week 15 the Preds will be facing either the Swords/Bees whom are battling for the 4/5 seeds (or missing the playoffs entirely), or Dogs (who will be the 6th seed). I have to be honest, I don't really like our chances against any of them regardless of what seed we have. Round 1 of the playoffs will be a major challenge either way.

The Opihi can still win the 1 seed with a win over the Bees, or the 4 seed with a loss.

All-Play means little to the Chickens who will win the 1 seed with an Opihi loss, despite a below .500 All-Play record! if the Opihi pull out a win the Chickens will be the 3 seed.

The Cards will be 2 seed and have earned a week 15 bye.

The current seeding heading into the Sunday night game:

1 Opihi or Chickens
2 Cards
3 Chickens or Preds (9-5)
4 Opihi, Preds (9-5) or Swords
5 Preds (9-5), Swords or Bees
6 Dogs

7 Swords, Bees or Scorpions (7-7)
8 Bees or Scorpions (7-7)
9 Burners, Derby Car or Llamas (4-10)
10 Burners, Derby Car or Llamas (4-10)
11 Burners, Derby Car or Llamas (4-10)
12 Freedom (3-11)

Preds December 11th, 2016 11:41 PM

Re: Frenzy Playoff Scenarios after week 13
 
Updated through the Sunday Night game

The Opihi can still win the 1 seed with a win over the Bees, or the 4 seed with a loss.

The Chickens have earned a week 15 bye and will either be the 1 seed with an Opihi loss or the 2 seed with an Opihi win.

The Cards will be the 2 seed with an Opihi loss or 3 seed with an Opihi win.

The Preds will be either the 3, 4 or 5 seed

The Swords can finish as the 4 or 5 seed with a win or out of the playoffs with the 7th seed with a loss and a Bees win.

The Bees can finish as the 5 seed with a win or out of the playoffs as the 7th or 8th seed with a loss.

Seeding heading into Monday Night:

1 Opihi (10-4 with a win) or Chickens (10-4 with an Opihi loss)
2 Chickens (10-4 with an Opihi win) or Cards (9-5 with an Opihi loss)
3 Cards (9-5 with an Opihi win) or Preds (9-5 with an Ophi loss)
4 Opihi (9-5 with a loss), Preds (9-5 with an Opihi Win and Swords loss) or Swords (9-5 with a win and an Opihi win)
5 Preds (9-5 with Opihi and Swords wins), Swords (9-5 with a win and Opihi loss or 8-6 with a loss and Opihi win), or Bees (8-6 with a win and Swords loss)
6 Dogs (7-7)

7 Swords (8-6 with a loss and Bees win), Bees (8-6 with a win and Swords win), or Scorpions (7-7 with Bees loss)
8 Bees (7-7 with a loss), or Scorpions (7-7 with a Bees win)
9 Burners (5-9)
10 Derby Car (5-9 with a win), or Llamas (4-10 with a Derby Car loss)
11 Derby Car (4-10 with a loss), or Llamas (4-10 with a Derby Car win)
12 Freedom (3-11)
________________

Royal Hawaiian Opihi December 11th, 2016 11:45 PM

Re: Frenzy Playoff Scenarios after week 13
 
Need a big game by Brady... throwing no TDs to Edelman.

Burt the Butcher December 12th, 2016 12:27 AM

Re: Frenzy Playoff Scenarios after week 13
 
So why would Cards be a higher seed than Chickens with a worse record?

Preds December 12th, 2016 09:08 AM

Re: Frenzy Playoff Scenarios after week 13
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Burt the Butcher (Post 136999)
So why would Cards be a higher seed than Chickens with a worse record?

:shrug: it's that new fandangled common core math that all the Millennials are using

OK fixed... sub-consciously my brain just couldn't fathom that the Chunky Chickens ate their way to a 10-4 record despite a sub .500 All Play Record. I kept thinking you were 9-5.

Sorry for the dis:respect:

Preds December 12th, 2016 09:10 AM

Re: Frenzy Playoff Scenarios after week 13
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Preds (Post 136997)
Seeding heading into Monday Night:

1 Opihi (10-4 with a win) or Chickens (10-4 with an Opihi loss)
2 Chickens (10-4 with an Opihi win) or Cards (9-5 with an Opihi loss)
3 Cards (9-5 with an Opihi win) or Preds (9-5 with an Ophi loss)
4 Opihi (9-5 with a loss), Preds (9-5 with an Opihi Win and Swords loss) or Swords (9-5 with a win and an Opihi win)
5 Preds (9-5 with Opihi and Swords wins), Swords (9-5 with a win and Opihi loss or 8-6 with a loss and Opihi win), or Bees (8-6 with a win and Swords loss)
6 Dogs (7-7)

7 Swords (8-6 with a loss and Bees win), Bees (8-6 with a win and Swords win), or Scorpions (7-7 with Bees loss)
8 Bees (7-7 with a loss), or Scorpions (7-7 with a Bees win)
9 Burners (5-9)
10 Derby Car (5-9 with a win), or Llamas (4-10 with a Derby Car loss)
11 Derby Car (4-10 with a loss), or Llamas (4-10 with a Derby Car win)
12 Freedom (3-11)
________________

Pretty crazy that the only thing certain in the top 6 is the Dogs with the 6th seed! A lot hinges on Tom Brady and the Opihi against the Bees and Edelman tonight!

Burt the Butcher December 12th, 2016 09:41 AM

Re: Frenzy Playoff Scenarios after week 13
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Preds (Post 137002)
:shrug: it's that new fandangled common core math that all the Millennials are using

OK fixed... sub-consciously my brain just couldn't fathom that the Chunky Chickens ate their way to a 10-4 record despite a sub .500 All Play Record. I kept thinking you were 9-5.

Sorry for the dis:respect:

LOL..ok...thought there was some other rule I was missing..

Burt the Butcher December 12th, 2016 09:52 AM

Re: Frenzy Playoff Scenarios after week 13
 
And it got closer to .500 with my league sweep this week...it just took me a while to get warmed up...

Preds December 12th, 2016 09:57 AM

Re: Frenzy Playoff Scenarios after week 13
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Burt the Butcher (Post 137008)
And it got closer to .500 with my league sweep this week...it just took me a while to get warmed up...

74-80 is the best you can finish in All-Play... absolutely amazing strokes of matchup luck that netted you a 10-4 record! All that said, there's no question you're squad is much stronger now than earlier in the season. Definitely a legit threat to win it all, especially with the bye.

chasmvp19 December 12th, 2016 12:57 PM

Re: Frenzy Playoff Scenarios after week 13
 
I would prefer a bye...but think bees might be the stronger team...like my matchups next week if we have to play...either way - good luck tonight boys and to those on to the post season...waiting to see extent of Gordons injury...not good timing as was Cooks drop in the endzone...ugh....

Burt the Butcher December 12th, 2016 03:54 PM

Re: Frenzy Playoff Scenarios after week 13
 
Gordon could be week to week, so maybe not so bad Chuck.

I get Jeffery back this week, just in time for the 'offs, so I am happy and will be running on full cylinders, with everyone seemingly healthy and clean....

Bounty Hunter December 12th, 2016 04:47 PM

Re: Frenzy Playoff Scenarios after week 13
 
Maybe Jeffery can draw the coverage away from Meredith. Seems like defenses determine who the #1 receivers are.

predator06 December 12th, 2016 08:10 PM

Re: Frenzy Playoff Scenarios after week 13
 
Holy moly!!! I thought I was out with the Preds win! Ok...playoffs for the Bees start tonight. I've never liked Brady


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