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Originally Posted by Nittany Dodgers
Tough decision, but I could see this going either way. Marvin has a number of things working against him. The Colts had an all time season in 2004, they are most likely not going to repeat their performance, so logic dictates Marvins numbers will drop as well. Marvin age leads one to conclude that his numbers should start to decline (at some point they have to, right?). CJ on the otherhand is a commodity on the rise. I disagree that CJ's upside is Marvin's downside. I wouldn't be surprised to see at all CJ outscore Marvin if not this year, then next, and we all know this isn't a one year league.
Bottom line, if I could only have one in 2005, I'd take Marvin, but if I was looking long term, CJ isn't a bad deal IMHO.
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I agree longterm, but IMO neither player is worth a long term deal at those numbers. Personally I'll likely give Marvin with 1 year deal and just tag him next year.
I analyzed this from the perspective of just the 2005 season, though I do agree Brian that the longer term should also be taken into consideration, particularly with Chad.