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Old June 3rd, 2007, 06:42 PM   #7
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Default Re: 3.06 FS Reggie Nelson - Jacksonville

Quote:
Originally Posted by pacificscrub
Very true on the point avg, but I'll disagree on the predictability part. I for one had Kampman in both of my other IDP leagues. As far as predicting who would be on top at the end of the year, I would argue that only Colts homers would have predicted Marvin would be the top scoring WR due to age, other options on his team, etc.

It's not so much who you think will score the most for a category as it is picking up a guy at a price that is low in proportion to his value at the position (while still scoring a decent point total of course). After the first 1.5 - 2 rounds, you're likely to get better production out of a top defensive player than a 3rd string RB or a wideout you just hope ends up making the roster in more than just a special teams role. I'm not saying some of those late round picks won't be diamonds in the rough, but I think you're much more likely to score well with your first choices at IDP positions than you will with your 8th or 10th choice in an offensive category.
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My draft reaching friends "Dos Clowns" hit the nial on the head with the final paragraph here.
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