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Originally Posted by pacificscrub
I'm curious. How many #3 receivers are worth a 2nd round pick (plus swapping picks in the 5th/6th), even on high-powered offenses? Brady spreads the ball around very effectively and with Moss the primary guy and Welker needing to be used to prevent offenses from keying completely on Moss, how often is Jackson even going to have the opportunity to get 100yds receiving in a game? 2-3 times a year? All of this assumes all of the IF's are overcome (if healthy, if passes Gaffney, if Brady looks his way more than 2-3 times a game...). I think that's both too high a price to pay and a very high risk to take on for marginal reward potential.
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Well, to play devil's advocate I'd say that this wasn't a trade done with 2008 in mind. Moss is old and Jackson is young. If all the if's come true, and assuming Jackson is the #3 going into the season, or during the season at some point, it would be reasonable to assume that he would be in line to take over a more featured role when Moss declines.
But, I'd agree all of the ifs add up to more than a 2nd, which is why I traded for the 2nd.